October Market Insights & Fall Community Highlights From Dave and Travis

by David Johnson

Mat-Su Valley Market Update (Oct 2019 - Oct 2025)
The Valley continues to show rising prices but faces the same challenge seen statewide not enough homes available, especially in affordable price ranges.

Here’s what’s happening:
• Active Listings: 377 (down from 414 in 2024)
• Pending Sales: 231 (slightly lower than 267 last year)
• Pending-to-Active Ratio: 61% 
• Average Days on Market: 40 (up slightly)
• Total Closed Sales: 1,250 (up from 1,129)
• Average Sales Price: $454,000 (up from $427,000)
 
Prices continue to climb, but buyer demand has softened. The biggest issue remains inventory homes in the $350K–$450K range are hard to find, and even fewer exist below that. Homes are still selling, but it’s taking longer, and affordability is tightening for many buyers.
 
Anchorage, Kenai & Statewide Overview (2024 - 2025)
Across Alaska, we’re seeing similar conditions  low inventory, slower sales activity, and prices continuing to rise modestly.
 
In Anchorage, the residential market shows 276 active listings (which should be closer to 600 for a balanced market) and 221 pending sales, down from 323 last year. The pending-to-active ratio dropped to 80% from 115% in 2024, while the average days on market rose to 24 (up from 22). The average sales price edged up to $527,000 from $514,000.

The Anchorage condo market follows the same pattern with 153 active listings (up from 109) and 107 pending sales (flat year-over-year). The ratio slipped to 70% from 98%, days on market stayed at 25, and prices climbed modestly to $289,000 from $275,000.

In Kenai, conditions are slower but steady. There are 322 active listings (down from 361) and 105 pending sales (down from 128), with a pending-to-active ratio of 33% (down from 36%). Homes are staying on the market longer — 65 days compared to 56 last year — and the average price remains flat at $387,000.
 
Statewide, the market mirrors these local trends. Active listings fell to 1,458 (from 1,683), while pending sales ticked up slightly to 708 (from 690). The pending-to-active ratio improved to 49% (from 41%), average days on market rose to 40 (from 39), and average sales prices increased to $464,000 (from $445,000).
 
While the number of closed sales remains strong compared to prior years, demand has slipped and days on market continue to climb. The real pressure point remains a lack of affordable inventory, combined with stubborn interest rates and broader economic uncertainty that’s affecting buyer confidence.
 
It’s a mixed market right now prices are up, but momentum is slowing. Sellers still benefit from low inventory, but realistic pricing and patience are key. Buyers may see more breathing room, but affordable homes remain scarce.

If you’d like a breakdown of what’s happening in your specific area or want to get an updated home value report, let’s connect!
 

 

The Holiday Bazaars at the Fair Are Back!
It’s that time of year again—holiday bazaars are rolling into the Valley, and I couldn’t be more excited to share the details with you.
 
Shop Local: Over 100 local vendors will be set up with clothing, art, jewelry, quilts, antiques, food products, furniture, woodwork, books & more. It’s the perfect chance to get a head start on holiday shopping while supporting our Alaska small businesses.
 
Grab a Bite: Refuel at some of your favorite food trucks—Grandma Wei’s, Alaska’s Best Gourmet Dogs, Baby Cakes, and Barbecue Babes will all be there.
Where: Raven Hall & Hoskins Building

When: October 11–12 & October 18–19

 Hours: Saturdays 10 a.m.–5 p.m. | Sundays 11 a.m.–5 p.m.

Admission: FREE!
 
This is a great way to spend a fall weekend with family and friends. 
Come out, shop local, and make some memories while checking off that holiday list early. Hope to see you around!

 

Thinking about selling? 
We’re offering complimentary exterior fall photos for your listing—showcasing your home with beautiful autumn colors that make a strong first impression online. 
Note: These free photos are exclusively for listings with Dave’s Alaska Homes.

Check out our Beautiful Listings at https://davesalaskahomes.com/featured-listing
Search for homes easily at https://davesalaskahomes.com/listing
Get your home’s estimated value instantly at https://davesalaskahomes.com/evaluation

Whether you’re thinking of selling while prices are high or jumping in before rates or inventory shift again — now is the time to act. The Mat-Su markets are moving, and we’re here to help you navigate

LET US BE YOUR TRUSTED GUIDE

Call or text Dave now at 907-863-7289
Call or text Travis now at 907-575-6779

davesalaskahomes@gmail.com

http://www.DavesAlaskaHomes. com

David Johnson

David Johnson

Broker Associate | License ID: 15839

+1(907) 863-7289

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